It's Groundhog Day on the PGA Tour as, for the third week in succession and thankfully the final time this season, the PGA Tour takes in a multi-course event on the west coast. Recommended bets are advised to over-18s and we strongly encourage readers to wager only what they can afford to lose. Amata Spring shares plenty in common with Laguna National's Classic Course, including a par-three 17th featuring an island green (this one floats and can be moved to suit conditions), but it's more straightforward to look at, its fairways and greens less dramatically undulating, and unless the wind blows hard it should play a good bit easier still. Seamus Power is already there and looked for 36 holes last year as though he'd make this the scene of his second win. It can't always transcend. At 62nd in the world, he's improved almost a hundred places from this time last year and this tournament looks an ideal place to complete his return to the top 50. Long off the tee, that's a definite weapon in the expected conditions and as with my main selections, he'll cope just fine should the breeze that's forecast for Thursday and Friday materialise. I think and hope it might be. That wasn't the case at the AmEx, yet such has been Putnam's improvement of late that he was still comfortably able to make the cut officially his 14th in succession, which places him behind only Rahm and Xander Schauffele in the rolling list, one place ahead of Cantlay, and underlines just how well he's playing. Poa annua greens raise a concern but he has often putted well at Pebble Beach, a course which matches up really nicely with a game that relies on finding fairways and dialling in approach shots indeed it's similar to that of the defending champion, Hoge. Have a great one @harryhiggs1991 Credit: James BluntRTs & YouTube subscribes (https://t.co/xdFaxMIROH) appreciated! Senekal signed for a third round of 69 to lead on 18-under par. That is a significant plus along with pretty sparse rough, and perhaps these slower greens will help him putt a little better than he has done so far in 2023. Sitting at the bag drop at pebble beach golf links. If you are concerned about your gambling, please call the National Gambling Helpline / GamCare on 0808 8020 133. Tyrrell Hatton's back-to-back wins, before he became world-class, had much to do with the relationship he struck up with the handsome man off the telly, and shock winner Oli Wilson broke through at the scene of an earlier play-off defeat. However, he wasn't all that far off making the weekend here during a miserable spell and perhaps that's not surprising, because as well as that major performance he managed to sit eighth at halfway on his debut in this event, very early on during his professional career and before he'd won anything of note. Hojgaard will at some stage destroy a field like this if he finds a hot putter and as with MacIntyre, a big carrot is being dangled: this is weaker than Al Hamra by quite some margin, yet he's exactly the same price. THU February 16, 2023 Ben Coley produced profit on the DP World Tour with a big-priced. Or should that be the strongest and the weakest? New in Club TFE today, @willknightsTFE has his hopes up for a Jason Day bounce back season. "But overall this past six months to a year it's been really, really good for me. That he kept the wheels turning to take part in the QBE Shootout also helps, as it should ensure he's ready to go. The formula required is directly tied to the weather, because while Kapalua's Plantation Course is quite a long par 73, it is a cakewalk if soft and unguarded by wind. Brandon Wu at 175/1 (Sky Bet 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8), 1pt e.w. Andrew Putnam at 28/1 (General 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8), 1pt e.w. USPGA Tour, Stroke Play. We are committed in our support of safer gambling. Erik van Rooyen is probably the class act, but he's still on the long road to recovery. He's priced generously at 175/1 by Paddy Power and Betfair but would make less appeal at the general 100s so I'll sign off with CAM DAVIS instead. That's kind of yielded into, I feel like, a better motion at it out here on the golf course. Higgs is precisely the type of player to click for a drop in grade and, with a background on the LatinoAmerica Tour where he won in Peru, conditions shouldn't be an excuse. Hopefully that experience is one he can learn from quickly as this big-hitter who pounds greens looks an ideal fit for Amata Spring, providing that is he can straighten up the driver. MacIntyre and Hojgaard should in my view be vying for favouritism narrowly ahead of Jordan Smith so I'll split stakes and take my chances at a course I'm certain both will like. pic.twitter.com/h4cpO2vm4N. In times gone by this wouldn't have been the event to go siding with maidens, Rahm bucking the trend in 2017, but List did the same and this is a markedly weaker field than in most previous years. Very marginal preference is for SUNGJAE IM, a player who I think might just enjoy a coming-of-age season which potentially starts with a bang here in Hawaii. Pre-pandemic, this was the most exclusive event of the year, open only to those who had won during the preceding 12 months. Still, three positive performances in four starts show improvement there, too, and given his miserable record in the Honda Classic I'm not at all worried about last week's missed cut. That club threatened to ruin his career, but he ranks 77th in strokes-gained off-the-tee, up from 196th at the end of his last full season. Dylan Wu at 28/1 (Sky Bet, bet365 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8), 1.5pts e.w. Blue bird day here on the Monterey Peninsula. Knox's comfort levels at the host venue can be seen in the fact he's ranked fourth and third for strokes-gained approach on his last two visits and was the fourth-best scorer at Pebble Beach when 15th overall in 2018. However, this field is poor, the course looks made for the kind of strong drivers who dominate the betting, and I think it should be closer to 12/1 the field as was the case when betting opened in Singapore last week. He'll need to play better than he has in his last two starts, but at the end of the previous season he was striping it before that fabulous performance at Quail Hollow, and we might just need his putter to warm up again for a big run at big odds. As ever we highly recommend you check out Tour-Tips.com for all the relevant . I can't quite go that far, as I do believe the venue for the Ras al Khaimah is made for him, but reports from practise at Amata Spring suggest it is driver upon driver at a course which is as receptive as you'll see. The Australian chose to play the AmEx last week purely to get sharpened up for Torrey Pines, where he won in 2015 and 2018 and has also been second, third and fifth as a professional, having collected plenty of positive experiences here as an amateur. Having won this tournament impressively for his first PGA tour win two years ago, he's really established himself as one of the best tee-to-green players on the tour. Golf Tips: Best bets for Mexico Open and Catalunya Championship Get the best golf bets for Mexico Open and Catalunya Championship from Steve Rawlings, Dave Tindall and many more experts Get the best golf bets for this week's Mexico Open and Catalunya Championship from Steve Rawlings, Dave Tindall and many more experts. Watson aside, these players would all have required permission to play from what was the European Tour, given that there were tournaments going on in South Africa at the same time. There are numerous has-beens and some players who simply aren't good enough to realistically expect to contend even at this lowly level, so I'm keen to have a crack at that second tier of the betting which provides real potential for a winner at a nice price. Are any players being overlooked this week, based on a poor California run, or do you need to back those in form, on a tough PGA National golf course? It seems highly likely that nobody here can afford to be left behind on the greens unless a zephyr turns into something more. A shock winner of the Joburg Open while playing on an invite, Bradbury has really impressed since earning DP World Tour membership, making the cut in each of his six subsequent appearances and gaining some priceless experience alongside Rory McIlroy in Dubai. Brandel Chamblee might've infamously gone overboard in declaring a specific shot the best of all time, but the way Johnson drove the ball all week, it was surely one of the best all-round exhibitions of that club. In the WGC example, they had international invites but struggled to create narratives from them. A winner at the RBC Heritage since, again having drifted to this kind of price at a course he enjoys, Spieth is just that bit too good to ignore. Notably, his remodelled swing is producing significantly improved results in terms of his approach play, which has powered his good golf since last summer, and his putting is now catching up. Theegala won the Junior World Championship here in 2004, 2006 and 2008 (yes, these are form lines from when he was a small child) and was inside the top three in 2009, 2012 and 2015, experiences which surely helped in some small way as he contended here on his Farmers debut, sitting sixth at halfway after rounds of 67 and 68. pic.twitter.com/30Vob81H2q. He'll have them here, and with his approach work showing signs of improvement, Wu can go well. First, Nicolai Hojgaard and Adrian Meronk both surrendered hugely promising positions at Al Hamra, and then last week both Ryan Fox and Robert MacIntyre were beaten before UK viewers sat down for breakfast. That's Green's game in a nutshell, hence runner-up finishes at Albatros and Dom Pedro where driver is almost an automatic club selection away from the par-threes. golf betting tips: Webgolf betting tips 2021. Another excellent knock around the South Course (67) in round three last year confirms that he has everything required to go close and seventh place in the Sony Open last time out was a lovely way to begin what may well be a breakthrough year. The last four winners of this have been the best tee-to-green players that week, so there is loads to like about him. Golf Tips: Ben Coley's best bets including 28/1 BMW Championship play Ben Coley / Golf / 6 months ago Golf Tips: A 22/1 punt tops our best bets at FedEx St Jude Championship & ISPS Handa World Invitational Ben Coley / Golf / 7 months ago Golf Tips: A 14/1 shout tops our best bets at Wyndham Championship & Cazoo Open McNealy is currently ranked 61st in the world which means he's on the cusp of the majors now and as well as an Augusta debut to play for, he'll no doubt be desperate to qualify for a US Open close to home in LA. Jordan Spieth at 33/1 (Sky Bet 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6), 1pt e.w. Lee was down the field on his first look at Kapalua but that's not uncommon, and neither is a big jolt of improvement for the look around. It's a pretty sizeable 'if', but had he avoided that mistake at the par-five third, Spieth may well have gone on to shoot the best score given that his 69 was only two off Corey Conners' field-leading 67. The left-hander contended for three tournaments in a row in 2021, settling for finishes of fifth, fourth and eighth, and before that had been 13th behind Sam Burns in the Valspar. No television pictures here in the UK, no shot-by-shot updates, no worthwhile data, a high probability of leaderboard errors, and a field which probably doesn't feature the next Tony Finau or Viktor Hovland. . Now, their refusal to play ball means Westwood was due to give evidence in court last week. Harry Higgs at 45/1 (bet365 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8), 1pt e.w. As was true over the North and South courses at Torrey Pines, previous form in the event has almost been essential. Given that he turned 40 in December and went so well on his very next start, there's a lot I like about his profile and it's only one poor week in the desert that needs forgiving. He's at a career-best world ranking and is playing well most weeks. The fact that he's prone to going missing for a day can work both ways and I'm hoping it's to our benefit given that this suits his game so well, with a change in clubs far from enough to dissuade me. He's made nine cuts in 10, he's got six top 30s, a couple of top 20s, but he's never been in this kind of form. Fresh off another winner with Thobjorn Olesen last week at 20-1, Tom and Brad are back to break down the Hero Indian Open and the Honda Classic. Hadley's course form is really strong, three top-10 finishes including a career-best performance in the 2019 US Open, and he spoke there of having played Pebble Beach more than 50 times. pic.twitter.com/Mgdai6Hb3A. Breezy conditions kept a lid on scoring at the Asia-Pacific Amateur Championship, both last year and back in 2012, but the course was pretty firm in November and the leader was on 13-under through 54 holes before a level-par finish. That he could contend on his way to third place as recently as last year, when he'd gone almost than six months without a top-20 finish, tells you everything you need to know about how well suited he is to this particular challenge and it's worth saying that this year's field is a good deal weaker. Nick Hardy and Will Gordon are two other maidens who made some appeal, particularly the latter, but I can't let GARY WOODLAND go unsupported at such a big price. As with Hadley and Wu, he played well in the US Open here and in Lashley's case, it sparked a dream week on his next start as he dominated the Rocket Mortgage Classic to win by a wide margin. It's also worth stating that his iron play is red-hot, ranking 12th on the PGA Tour this season, while the awful short-game issues he demonstrated before Christmas have been far less prevalent since the return. Alex Smalley is one to watch but experience generally pays here, so between Brendon Todd and JAMES HAHN I'll opt for the truly speculative option to round things off. Day returns to Torrey Pines on the back of five top-25s in his last six starts, the only blip along the way a poor first round at the RSM Classic. The only cut he's missed in the USA since April came at Colonial in May, after he'd won and then played in a major and was surely out of gas, and having flushed it when third to McIlroy at Congaree he simply looks an improved player at the very top of his game. Nate Lashley at 100/1 (General 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8), 1pt e.w. 5pts Robert MacIntyre or Nicolai Hojgaard to win at 10/1 (General), 2pts e.w. We're still learning about him but so far it's the modern blend of power hitting and good putting which is doing the donkey work and again it's serious going to be beating the field off-the-tee every week, which he's done.